Craig Berube Toronto Maple Leafs

August 27, 2025

EdgeHockey Staff

Toronto’s Crucible: Three Maple Leafs Facing a Make-or-Break Season

The dust has settled. The blockbuster trade that sent Mitch Marner out of Toronto has irrevocably altered the landscape of the Maple Leafs, closing the book on one of the most polarizing and scrutinized eras in franchise history. As the organization pivots, a new narrative begins to write itself. But for every new beginning, there’s an accompanying pressure to perform—a weight of expectation that falls unevenly across the locker room.

With Marner’s $10.9 million cap hit and his dynamic, if sometimes maddening, offensive contributions gone, a vacuum has been created. The onus to fill that void now rests squarely on the shoulders of the remaining core and those looking to ascend into a new role. While every player in blue and white will feel the heat, the spotlight shines brightest on three individuals for whom the 2025-26 season is nothing short of a professional crossroads. For superstar Auston Matthews, agitator-turned-opportunist Max Domi, and veteran anchor Morgan Rielly, this isn’t just another 82-game grind. It’s a campaign that will define their legacies, justify their contracts, and ultimately determine the trajectory of this new-look Maple Leafs team.

The Weight of the ‘C’: Matthews’ Redemption Tour

When you’re the $13.25 million man and the undisputed face of the franchise, the pressure is a constant companion. But for Auston Matthews, the upcoming season presents a challenge of a different magnitude. The captain is coming off a season hampered by injuries, limiting him to a mortal 33 goals—a far cry from the near-supernatural scoring pace we’ve come to expect. Now, he enters a season without his long-time running mate, the player with whom he shared an almost telepathic on-ice connection.

Auston Matthews Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews battles for the puck in front of Florida Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images)

The departure of Marner isn’t just about replacing 90-plus points in the lineup; it’s about Matthews proving he can be the offensive engine regardless of who is on his wing. For years, the narrative, fair or not, was that his success was intrinsically linked to Marner’s elite playmaking. This is his chance to shatter that perception completely. The mission is no longer just to return to his elite, high-scoring norms; it is to elevate a new-look top line and lead a re-tooled offense back to contender status.

A “bounce-back campaign” for Matthews isn’t just about lighting the lamp 60 times again. It’s about leadership. It’s about taking a group missing one of its most potent weapons and making them just as dangerous. The front office has bet the franchise’s future on him, and with that record-setting contract comes the responsibility of carrying the team through turmoil and transition. What does Auston Matthews have to lose? Not his job, not his contract. He has his reputation on the line. This is the season that will answer whether he is simply a generational goal-scorer or a true franchise-defining superstar capable of lifting his team to glory, no matter the circumstances.

Also on the EDGE – How the Maple Leafs Are Finally Leaving the Core-4 Era Behind

Opportunity Knocks: Domi’s Do-or-Die Season

If there is one player who stands to gain—or lose—the most from Marner’s exit, it is undoubtedly Max Domi. The son of a franchise folk hero has, to this point, underwhelmed since signing his four-year, $15 million deal. His overall tenure has been a mixed bag of offensive flashes, frustrating penalties, and inconsistent play. But now, the seas have parted, and a golden opportunity has appeared on the horizon: a potential full-time role on the top line alongside Auston Matthews and Matthew Knies.

This is the definition of a “stand-or-fall” moment. For Domi, this is his chance to “level up” and prove he’s the top-six impact player Brad Treliving bet on. The team desperately needs him to seize this role. His puck distribution skills are undeniable, and he possesses a creative flair that could, in theory, mesh well with a pure finisher like Matthews. The problem has never been the potential; it’s been the execution and the details.

Toronto Maple Leafs Max Domi
Toronto Maple Leafs Max Domi (John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images)

Can he maintain the discipline required of a top-line forward? Can he commit to a 200-foot game when the play isn’t on his stick? These are the million-dollar questions. Playing with Matthews means facing the opponent’s best defenders every single night. There is no room for error, no place for the lazy penalties or defensive lapses that have plagued Domi’s career. The Leafs don’t just need him to put up points; they need him to be a reliable and responsible partner for their captain.

His contract, at a $3.75 million AAV through 2027-28, could look like either a bargain or an albatross by the end of this season. If he fails to capitalize on this prime opportunity, he cements his status as an overpaid middle-six forward, creating another cap headache for a management team trying to build with more efficiency. If he succeeds, he becomes a critical piece of the new core and a key figure in Toronto’s post-Marner identity. For Max Domi, everything is on the table.

The $7.5 Million Question on the Blueline

As the longest-tenured Maple Leaf, Morgan Rielly has seen it all. He’s been the beacon of hope on dreadful teams and a veteran leader on contending ones. But as the 2025-26 season approaches, he finds himself in an unfamiliar and uncomfortable position: arguably the biggest disappointment from last season and the owner of a contract that is becoming increasingly difficult to justify.

Locked in at $7.5 million per year until he’s 36, Rielly is paid to be a premier, puck-moving, offensive defenceman. Last season, he simply wasn’t. While he led the team’s blue-liners with 41 points, it was a statistically significant step back across the board. He posted his lowest average ice time (21:23) in a decade and had mediocre possession metrics.

Toronto Maple Leafs Morgan Rielly
Toronto Maple Leafs Morgan Rielly (Sam Navarro-Imagn Images)

So, where is the value? That is the question that will hang over Rielly all season. In today’s NHL, a $7.5 million cap hit for a defenceman who isn’t driving elite offense or shutting down top opposition is a significant burden. It’s the kind of contract that restricts a team’s flexibility and forces tough decisions elsewhere on the roster.

The spotlight on Rielly will be second only to that on Matthews. He must have a significant bounce-back year to quiet the growing concerns. He needs to re-establish himself as a dominant force from the back end, controlling the flow of the game and making a tangible impact on the scoresheet. For Rielly, the stakes are his legacy in Toronto. He has the chance to prove he is still a foundational pillar of this team. The alternative is to risk being remembered as the high-priced anchor that held the new era back.

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